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    Is the Economic Recovery Already Underway?

    The Wall Street Journal just released their latest monthly Survey of Economists. In an article on the findings, they reported:

    “The U.S. economy will be in recovery by the third quarter of this year, economists said in a survey that also concluded the labor market will fare better than previously expected following the effects of the coronavirus pandemic.”

    Clearly, the latest jobs report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics confirmed the labor market is outperforming expectations, as it revealed that 2.5 million jobs were added. Directly before the release, experts forecasted that we would lose over 8 million jobs.

    A second revelation indicating the economy is already about to turn around was also somewhat unexpected. More than 9 out of 10 economists surveyed believe the recovery has already begun this quarter or will begin in the third quarter. Here are the results of the survey question asking when the recovery will begin:Is the Economic Recovery Already Underway? | MyKCMThe survey also asked what type of recovery the economists expect.

    More than 8 out of 10 believe it will be a form of a ‘V’ recovery:

    • A true ‘V’ with a sharp drop and a sharp rebound
    • A ‘Nike Swoosh’ with a sharp drop and a more gradual recovery, coined after the company’s logo

    Some experts, possibly concerned about a second wave of COVID-19, call for a ‘W’ recovery – a double dip recession.

    Others call for a ‘U’ with a prolonged bottom.

    A very small percentage project the dreaded ‘L’ recovery, which is no recovery at all for the foreseeable future (think of the Great Recession).

    Here’s the breakdown:Is the Economic Recovery Already Underway? | MyKCM

    Bottom Line

    Though we still have a long and difficult journey ahead, it appears the worst for both the economy and the unemployment situation may be in our rearview mirror.

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    Danny Cheung

    I spent almost thirty (30) years with the Department of Defense in hardware/software design, development, operations, maintenance, and program manager before joining the Group in a full-time capacity. I am thrilled to put my years of experience as an Electronics Engineer and Program Manager to assist and lead our Real Estate Group to the next level. I am committed to establishing the tools and resources necessary for our team members to work more seamlessly and effectively, thus ensuring our clients' satisfaction. My wife and I have two daughters and a dog (he’s more like our son). I enjoy traveling and watching sports, especially football…Go Skins!

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